Resolution Criteria Explained
Learn how resolution criteria determine outcome interpretation, why source authority and timing matter, and how to evaluate ambiguity safely.
Context only. Not betting advice, financial advice, legal advice, or investment advice.
What resolution criteria control
Resolution criteria define the formal conditions used to settle contract outcomes.
They can include source authority, publication standards, cutoffs, and exceptional handling clauses.
Timing logic and cutoff interpretation
Timing boundaries can determine whether otherwise relevant updates count for settlement.
Timestamp handling should be documented precisely to reduce misreads.
- Identify cutoff timestamp and timezone
- Check whether revisions are allowed
- Track fallback rules for delayed data
Managing ambiguity with uncertainty flags
Ambiguous wording should be flagged and monitored, not forced into a simplified interpretation.
Uncertainty flags help research teams preserve transparency over time.
Context-only interpretation note
This content supports educational analysis and methodology hygiene.
Context only. Not betting advice, financial advice, legal advice, or investment advice.
Related resources
Polymarket Resolution Criteria
Apply criteria-first interpretation to Polymarket markets.
Kalshi Resolution Criteria
Review criteria interpretation for Kalshi markets.
Uncertainty Flags
Document ambiguity and unresolved questions clearly.
Prediction Market Resolution Criteria
Explore the broader product-aligned criteria framework.
Frequently asked questions
Can headline reading replace criteria review?
No. Headlines often omit settlement details that are critical to interpretation quality.
Why are uncertainty flags useful here?
They preserve open questions and make criteria interpretation more auditable.
Criteria-first analysis
Keep source authority and timing logic visible in research briefs
Use OddsAware to organize resolution criteria, source notes, and uncertainty flags in one workflow.
Early access is currently available. Context only - not betting advice.