Source-backed research for prediction markets

Turn market URLs into source-backed briefs.

Paste a Polymarket or Kalshi URL. Get a neutral brief with market-implied probability, public context, resolution criteria, and uncertainty flags.

OddsAware keeps the research workflow focused on public data and clear context. Save a brief and return to see what changed.

Generate a Source-Backed Brief Analyze a Market URL

Early access is currently available. Context only — not betting advice, gambling advice, or financial advice.

View a sample brief Polymarket research Resolution criteria Join the waitlist

Example research briefPolymarketSource-aware context

Illustrative preview

Example research brief: World Cup Outcome 2026

Market-implied probability and brief modules are examples for product direction only. Not live market data.

Market-implied probability

61%

+1.4 pp

Volume (24h)

$410K

Public flow up

Liquidity

$1.8M

Stable

Coverage confidence

High

Sources connected

Probability history

Illustrative preview

Resolution criteria

Official wording and timing window summarized with direct source references.

Public context

Key public updates and event background grouped into a neutral context layer.

Market movement

Recent movement is described with source-aware notes instead of certainty claims.

Source notes

Public articles and official sources are listed with quick relevance labels.

Uncertainty flags

Ambiguous wording and open information gaps are highlighted for follow-up.

Key takeaways

Context summary stays descriptive, neutral, and focused on public information.

Source note: Reuters

Regional federation update informs timing context and event framing.

Source note: Official rules

Criteria text and publication standard remain the primary resolution reference.

Data coverage indicators

Market metadataConnected

Source contextConnected

Movement historyConnected

Resolution parsingConnected

Context only. Not betting advice, gambling advice, or financial advice.

Saved briefUpdated

Will there be a ceasefire in Gaza by Q3 2026? · Polymarket

Probability

41%↑ +7 pts since last check

Movement status

Partially explained

2 new public sources found near move. OddsAware cannot confirm causation.

New sources

Last checked

6 hours ago

Tracked events · Planned for a future release

Product focus

Built to monitor, not just summarize.

OddsAware connects market probability, public sources, resolution criteria, and movement detection into one workflow — then keeps checking for what changed.

Source-backed briefs now

Generate briefs from Polymarket URLs — current probability, movement history, public context, resolution criteria, and uncertainty flags.

Tracked events · Planned

Save a brief and OddsAware monitors it. Probability shifts, new sources, volume changes, and unexplained movement — surfaced when you return.

How OddsAware works

From a market URL to a source-backed brief — and a tracked event that keeps watching.

Paste a market URL

Start with a Polymarket or Kalshi URL. OddsAware pulls the market, current probability, movement history, and resolution criteria.

See source-backed context

Public sources are organized around the market question, movement windows, and whether recent moves appear explained or unexplained.

Understand what actually counts

Resolution criteria breakdowns show what appears to resolve Yes or No, the relevant deadline, and edge cases to verify on the original market page.

Track it over time

Planned

Save a brief and OddsAware monitors it for probability shifts, new sources, volume changes, and unexplained movement.

What's inside a brief

Every brief is designed to organize the market question, public context, movement history, and resolution clarity.

Market overview

Market-implied probability

Probability movement history

Movement explanation status

Source-backed public context

Source quality notes

Resolution criteria breakdown

Uncertainty flags

What changed since last check

Planned

Alerts and notifications

Roadmap

Movement analysis

See why a market moved

OddsAware compares probability history with public sources to identify meaningful movement windows and flag whether a move appears explained, partially explained, or unexplained by public information.

OddsAware cannot confirm causation between market movement and public sources. Movement labels reflect available public data only.

Resolution clarity

Understand what actually counts

Resolution criteria breakdowns explain what appears to resolve Yes or No, the relevant deadline, and known edge cases — so you can interpret market pricing with clearer context.

Event trackingPlanned

Track events over time

Save a brief and it becomes a tracked event. OddsAware monitors probability changes, new public sources, volume spikes, and resolution updates — and shows what changed since your last check.

Structured brief preview

A sample brief combines market overview, market-implied probability, recent movement, source notes, and resolution criteria in one readable layout.

Generate a Source-Backed Brief Analyze a Market URL Join the Waitlist

Example research briefPolymarketSource-aware context

Illustrative preview

Example research brief: Germany vs. Cote d'Ivoire

Market-implied probability and brief modules are examples for product direction only. Not live market data.

Market-implied probability

58%

+0.9 pp

Movement (7d)

Moderate

Narrative shift

Source coverage

12 notes

Updated

Probability history

Illustrative preview

Market metadata

Question wording, category, and timing context aligned in a single header.

Public context

Recent reports and official statements grouped for fast review.

Resolution criteria

Rules-focused summary prevents headline-only interpretation.

Uncertainty flags

Confidence gaps and source dependencies remain visible.

Source note: Reuters

Regional federation update informs timing context and event framing.

Source note: Official rules

Criteria text and publication standard remain the primary resolution reference.

Data coverage indicators

Market metadataConnected

Source contextConnected

Movement historyConnected

Resolution parsingConnected

Context only. Not betting advice, gambling advice, or financial advice.

Early access is currently available. Context only — not betting advice, gambling advice, or financial advice.

Built for context, not recommendations

OddsAware is designed to help users interpret public market information more clearly, without crossing into recommendation claims, promises, or advice.

What OddsAware does

Explains market-implied probability in plain language.
Highlights public context and source-backed notes.
Surfaces resolution criteria and source dependencies.
Flags recent movement as explained, partially explained, or unexplained.
Monitors saved market events for changes. (Planned)
Surfaces new public sources when they appear. (Planned)

What OddsAware does not do

It does not provide betting advice, gambling advice, or picks.
It does not guarantee outcomes or future results.
It does not act as financial, legal, tax, or investment advice.
It does not replace reviewing the original market rules and sources yourself.

Early access open · Tracked events planned

Start with a brief. Build a watchlist.

Generate source-backed briefs from market URLs now. Tracked events, monitoring, and alerts are planned for a future release.

✓ Source-backed briefs — available now

✓ Polymarket URL intake — available now

✓ Resolution criteria breakdowns — available now

◌ Tracked events with change detection — planned

◌ Probability movement alerts — planned

◌ Email and push notifications — roadmap

Get Early Access Join the Waitlist

Get early access to tracked events

Be first to know when tracking, monitoring, and alerts launch. Pricing and plan limits may evolve during early access.

Frequently asked questions

Does OddsAware give betting advice?

No. OddsAware is a context-only research product. It does not provide betting advice, gambling advice, picks, financial advice, or trading signals.

Does OddsAware support Polymarket URLs?

Yes. Early access currently supports Polymarket URL intake. Kalshi and additional prediction market sources are planned.

What does market-implied probability mean?

Market-implied probability is the probability expressed by current market pricing. It reflects what the market is expressing now, not a guarantee.

What are resolution criteria?

Resolution criteria are the rules and source references used to determine the final outcome of a market question.

What does early access include?

Early access currently includes source-backed research briefs, Polymarket URL intake, probability movement readouts, resolution criteria breakdowns, and public context with uncertainty flags. Tracked events and monitoring features are planned for a future release.

What is a tracked event?

A tracked event is a saved brief that OddsAware continues to monitor. When you return, OddsAware can show probability changes, new sources, volume shifts, and movement that appeared since your last check. Tracked events are planned for a future release.

What will paid plans include?

Paid plans are planned to include tracked markets, automated change detection, new source alerts, more brief credits, and eventually email notifications. The core subscription value is monitoring — OddsAware watches saved events so you do not have to. Pricing and plan limits may evolve during early access.

Does OddsAware support Kalshi?

Kalshi support is planned. Early access currently focuses on Polymarket URL intake. Additional prediction market sources will be added over time.

Explore research pages

Explore the core topic pages built around source-backed research, Polymarket workflows, and resolution clarity.

Polymarket Research Polymarket URL Analyzer Prediction Market Research Market Briefs Resolution Criteria