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Kalshi Resolution Criteria

Learn how to evaluate Kalshi resolution criteria, source authority, publication timing, and ambiguity using a criteria-first workflow.

Context only. Not betting advice, financial advice, legal advice, or investment advice.

What Kalshi criteria determine

Criteria language defines the formal logic used to determine settlement outcomes.

Interpretation should begin with criteria, not assumptions from market headlines.

Source authority and publication standards

Criteria can specify named sources and publication requirements that act as settlement references.

These should be documented clearly before interpreting movement context.

Cutoff timing and update handling

Timing boundaries can determine whether data updates qualify for settlement evaluation.

Timing checks are especially important near final windows.

  • Capture timestamp boundaries
  • Verify timezone assumptions
  • Check handling for revised or delayed releases

Ambiguity flags for criteria interpretation

Unclear clauses should be tagged as uncertainty rather than forced into deterministic summaries.

This preserves research quality and transparency.

Context-only interpretation note

This page supports neutral methodology and does not replace official rules or provide recommendations.

Context only. Not betting advice, financial advice, legal advice, or investment advice.

Related resources

Frequently asked questions

Can criteria override a short market summary?

Yes. Criteria language is the authoritative settlement reference and can materially change interpretation.

Why should ambiguity stay visible?

Visible ambiguity helps avoid overconfident interpretation in incomplete contexts.

Criteria-first workflow

Keep Kalshi criteria references and uncertainty notes in one brief

Use OddsAware to map source authority, timing clauses, and ambiguity flags for context-only interpretation.

Early access is currently available. Context only - not betting advice.