How Resolution Criteria Work in Prediction Markets
Learn how resolution criteria shape interpretation across prediction markets, why official wording matters, and how to evaluate ambiguity.
Context only. Not betting advice, financial advice, legal advice, or investment advice.
Resolution criteria define the final outcome logic
Resolution criteria specify how a market will settle, including source authority and timing rules.
They are often more detailed than the short market title.
Small wording differences can change interpretation
Phrases about publication standards, event timing, and qualifying conditions can materially affect outcome interpretation.
Criteria should be read line-by-line, not inferred from headline phrasing.
Use ambiguity flags when wording is unclear
Not every rule set is equally clear. Ambiguity flags help isolate clauses that may require extra caution.
Source notes can document which parts of criteria are straightforward versus uncertain.
Research interpretation remains context-only
Criteria analysis supports interpretation but does not replace official rule text from the market platform.
Context only. Not betting advice, financial advice, legal advice, or investment advice.
Learn the background
Use these evergreen Learn guides for definitions, durable methods, and criteria-first context that support this analysis.
Resolution Criteria Explained (Evergreen Guide)
Use the durable Learn framework for criteria-first interpretation.
Polymarket Resolution Criteria (Evergreen Guide)
Use the canonical Polymarket-specific criteria guide for durable methodology.
How to Compare Conflicting Sources
Handle criteria-adjacent source conflicts in a structured way.
Related workflow pages
Frequently asked questions
Can a market title be enough to interpret resolution?
Usually no. Resolution criteria often include details not visible in the title, especially around source and timing.
Why do ambiguity flags matter?
They identify clauses that may be interpreted differently, helping keep uncertainty visible in research.
Does this replace official rules?
No. Official market rules remain authoritative. OddsAware provides context-only interpretation support.
Rules-focused research
Analyze resolution criteria with clearer context
Use OddsAware to keep official wording, timing, and source references visible in one structured research view.
Early access is currently available. Context only — not betting advice.