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Prediction Market Research

How Does Polymarket Work?

Learn how Polymarket event markets are structured, how yes or no outcomes work, and why price movement and criteria context matter.

Context only. Not betting advice, financial advice, legal advice, or investment advice.

Markets start with a specific event question

Polymarket markets center on defined events and a resolution condition that determines how outcomes settle.

The precise wording of the question and criteria is foundational for interpretation.

Yes and no outcome structure

Many markets use yes and no contracts tied to one question, with pricing reflecting current market expression.

Outcome structure should be read alongside official rules and timing cutoffs.

Why prices move over time

Prices can change with incoming public information, changes in attention, and shifts in participation.

Movement indicates changing market expression, not certain final outcomes.

  • Public news and official updates
  • Interpretation of resolution criteria
  • Liquidity and market participation changes

Rules and resolution criteria are central

Official criteria describe source authority, timing windows, and settlement logic.

Without criteria context, the same headline can be interpreted incorrectly.

Educational scope

OddsAware summarizes public context and source notes to support interpretation workflows.

Context only. Not betting advice, financial advice, legal advice, or investment advice.

Related resources

Frequently asked questions

Does market movement prove an outcome?

No. It shows changing market expression and should be interpreted with source notes and criteria context.

Why do official criteria matter so much?

Criteria define the exact settlement logic, which can differ from short-form question summaries.

Workflow clarity

Research market structure with source-aware context

Keep event wording, market movement, and resolution criteria visible in one neutral research workflow.

Early access is currently available. Context only - not betting advice.